2024 Political Battleground: 6 Key Constituencies in the Ashanti Region
Introduction
As Ghana approaches the 2024 elections, the Ashanti Region—a stronghold of the New Patriotic Party (NPP)—presents a fascinating mix of evolving political dynamics. Several constituencies within the region stand out as critical battlegrounds. Prince Asare, head of our political section delves into six key constituencies, exploring historical voting trends, emerging patterns, and the potential shifts to watch.
1. Ejura Sekyere Dumase: A Stronghold in Flux
In Ejura Sekyere Dumase, the National Democratic Congress (NDC) has shown consistent strength, widening its lead between 2016 and 2020. Presidential votes increased from 53.03% in 2016 to 54.15% in 2020, with similar trends in parliamentary elections.
Question for 2024: Can the NPP implement a targeted campaign to reclaim this seat, or will the NDC solidify its dominance further?
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2. New Edubiase: A See-Saw Constituency
After losing both presidential and parliamentary races in 2016, the NDC rebounded impressively in 2020, capturing 51.61% of the presidential vote and 52.38% of parliamentary support.
Question for 2024: Will the NPP regain its foothold, or is the NDC poised to maintain its reclaimed territory?
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3. Offinso North: A Rising Tide for the NDC?
Traditionally NPP territory, Offinso North saw narrowing gaps in the 2020 elections. The NDC’s partnership with independent candidate Kwaku Bonsam has further fueled speculation of a potential parliamentary upset.
Question for 2024: Could this be the NDC’s breakthrough moment in Offinso North?
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4. Atwima Mponua: A Changing Landscape
Known for its NPP loyalty, Atwima Mponua witnessed significant NDC gains in 2020, particularly in the parliamentary race, where the margin was reduced to just 3.95%. With NPP stalwart Isaac Asiamah stepping aside, the political landscape is ripe for change.
Question for 2024: Can the NDC capitalize on this momentum to flip the seat?
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5. Sekyere Affram Plains: A Contest Too Close to Call
A traditional NDC bastion, Sekyere Affram Plains saw a dramatic tightening of margins in 2020, with the parliamentary race ending at 50.49% for the NDC and 49.51% for the NPP. Internal NDC tensions could further impact the outcome.
Question for 2024: Will the NPP finally flip this seat, or will the NDC resolve its internal challenges in time?
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6. Ahafo Ano South East: Steady Gains for the NDC
Though the NPP has maintained control, the NDC has been steadily increasing its numbers, moving from 42.85% in the 2016 presidential race to 43.70% in 2020. With new candidates on both sides, this constituency is set for an exciting contest.
Question for 2024: Could this be the year the NDC finally breaks through?
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Conclusion
The Ashanti Region is often seen as a fortress for the NPP, but shifting voter dynamics and strategic campaigns could alter this narrative in 2024. As political parties sharpen their strategies, these six constituencies will be pivotal in shaping not just regional, but national outcomes.
Your Turn: What do you think will be the deciding factors in these battleground constituencies? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Analysis by Prince Asare for DTC OfficialGh
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